← All 785 jobsFile 51-1011
First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers
Heavily edited
AI already performs a large share of the work in this job. Even so, the BLS expects 1.8% more of these jobs by 2035, slower than the 3.5% average.
- Rank
- #132 of 785 jobs, by how much of the work AI does
- US jobs, 2025 to 2035
- +1.8% All jobs: +3.5%
- Median US pay
- $74,450 a year, 2025
- People doing it
- 679,900 in the US, with about 61,000 openings a year
The work, 18 activities
The job description, marked up.
Every activity in this job, the biggest first. Tap a line for the evidence.
- deleAI does this
- +AIAI helps
- stetStill yours
AI does this: Plan work activities11%
AI performed this in about 1 in 720 Copilot conversations and completed it 92% of the time.
AI does this: Train others to use equipment or products10%
AI performed this in about 1 in 494 Copilot conversations and completed it 94% of the time.
Still yours: Maintain operational records8%
Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.
AI helps with this: Maintain safety or security7%
People asked AI for help with this in about 1 in 1,066 conversations, and it got them there 93% of the time.
Still yours: Inspect commercial, industrial, or production systems or equipment6%
Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.
AI does this: Read documents or materials to inform work processes6%
AI performed this in about 1 in 214 Copilot conversations and completed it 87% of the time.
AI does this: Communicate with others about operational plans or activities5%
AI performed this in about 1 in 354 Copilot conversations and completed it 90% of the time.
AI helps with this: Coordinate with others to resolve problems5%
People asked AI for help with this in about 1 in 738 conversations, and it got them there 83% of the time.
Still yours: Evaluate personnel capabilities or performance5%
Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.
Still yours: Direct organizational operations, activities, or procedures5%
Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.
Still yours: Monitor equipment operation5%
Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.
AI does this: Determine operational methods or procedures4%
AI performed this in about 1 in 461 Copilot conversations and completed it 93% of the time.
AI does this: Advise others on business or operational matters4%
AI performed this in about 1 in 290 Copilot conversations and completed it 92% of the time.
AI helps with this: Determine resource needs of projects or operations4%
People asked AI for help with this in about 1 in 1,590 conversations, and it got them there 92% of the time.
AI helps with this: Purchase goods or services4%
People asked AI for help with this in about 1 in 214 conversations, and it got them there 91% of the time.
Still yours: Perform human resources activities4%
Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.
AI helps with this: Adjust equipment to ensure adequate performance3%
People asked AI for help with this in about 1 in 510 conversations, and it got them there 94% of the time.
AI helps with this: Set up equipment3%
People asked AI for help with this in about 1 in 511 conversations, and it got them there 95% of the time.
2025 to 2035
Ten years from now.
For every 100 of these jobs in 2025, the BLS projects 102 in 2035. Across all US jobs, about 104.
About 61,000 openings a year, from growth and from people who retire or move on.
Nearby
Where your skills travel.
Jobs that share the most work with this one, where AI does less of it.
- Shares 44% of the workPower Distributors and Dispatchers20% AI does, against 42% here+1.2% by 2035 · $106,730 · High school diploma
- Shares 40% of the workElectrical and Electronics Repairers, Commercial and Industrial Equipment19% AI does, against 42% here+0.3% by 2035 · $74,090 · Postsecondary certificate
- Shares 37% of the workCommercial Pilots16% AI does, against 42% here+5.2% by 2035 · $123,220 · Postsecondary certificate
The wire
On the wire.
Nothing filed about this job yet. The latest from the Work front:
How to read this file.
deleAI does this. In US Bing Copilot conversations from January to September 2024, AI itself performed the activity, completed it and made a real difference often enough to count.
+AIAI helps. People brought the activity to AI as their own goal, and it usually got them there.
stetStill yours. It barely shows up in AI use, AI rarely finishes it, or in this job it needs hands.
Shares are weighted by how much each activity matters in the job, using O*NET. Microsoft’s own AI applicability score for this job is 0.25, higher than 80% of jobs.
Doing an activity is not doing a job. The researchers behind this data warn against reading it as job loss, and so do we. It is US data; the shape of the work travels.
Sources: Microsoft Research, Working with AI (2025) · O*NET OnLine, 51-1011 · BLS Employment Projections 2025 to 2035
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