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First-Line Supervisors of Firefighting and Prevention Workers

Mostly untouched

AI barely touches this work so far. The BLS expects 3.7% more of these jobs by 2035, faster than the 3.5% average.

3%AI does0%AI helps97%Still yours
Rank
#669 of 785 jobs, by how much of the work AI does
US jobs, 2025 to 2035
+3.7% All jobs: +3.5%
Median US pay
$93,530 a year, 2025
People doing it
101,600 in the US, with about 6,600 openings a year

The work, 21 activities

The job description, marked up.

Every activity in this job, the biggest first. Tap a line for the evidence.

  • deleAI does this
  • +AIAI helps
  • stetStill yours
  1. Still yours: Direct security or safety activities or operations18%

    Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.

  2. Still yours: Maintain tools or equipment10%

    Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.

  3. Still yours: Notify others of emergencies or problems9%

    Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.

  4. Still yours: Inspect commercial, industrial, or production systems or equipment8%

    Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.

  5. Still yours: Maintain operational records5%

    Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.

  6. Still yours: Intervene in crisis situations or emergencies5%

    Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.

  7. Still yours: Administer emergency medical treatment5%

    Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.

  8. Still yours: Prepare reports of operational or procedural activities4%

    Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.

  9. Still yours: Inspect facilities or equipment4%

    Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.

  10. Still yours: Monitor environmental conditions4%

    Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.

  11. Still yours: Protect people or property from threats such as fires or flooding4%

    Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.

  12. Still yours: Train others on operational or work procedures4%

    AI does this in desk jobs, but in this one it is mostly hands-on.

  13. Still yours: Evaluate personnel capabilities or performance3%

    Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.

  14. Still yours: Develop safety standards, policies, or procedures3%

    Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.

  15. Still yours: Manage human resources activities3%

    Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.

  16. Still yours: Assign work to others3%

    Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.

  17. Still yours: Monitor operations to ensure adequate performance3%

    Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.

  18. AI does this: Advise others on workplace health or safety issues2%

    AI performed this in about 1 in 1,805 Copilot conversations and completed it 94% of the time.

  19. Still yours: Operate transportation equipment or vehicles2%

    Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.

  20. Still yours: Direct legal activities2%

    Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.

  21. AI does this: Determine operational methods or procedures1%

    AI performed this in about 1 in 461 Copilot conversations and completed it 93% of the time.

2025 to 2035

Ten years from now.

For every 100 of these jobs in 2025, the BLS projects 104 in 2035. Across all US jobs, about 104.

US jobs by 2035+3.7%
shrinkingyellow tick: all jobs +3.5%growing

About 6,600 openings a year, from growth and from people who retire or move on.

The wire

On the wire.

Nothing filed about this job yet. The latest from the War front:

More from the War front →

How to read this file.

deleAI does this. In US Bing Copilot conversations from January to September 2024, AI itself performed the activity, completed it and made a real difference often enough to count.

+AIAI helps. People brought the activity to AI as their own goal, and it usually got them there.

stetStill yours. It barely shows up in AI use, AI rarely finishes it, or in this job it needs hands.

Shares are weighted by how much each activity matters in the job, using O*NET. Microsoft’s own AI applicability score for this job is 0.01, higher than 2% of jobs.

Doing an activity is not doing a job. The researchers behind this data warn against reading it as job loss, and so do we. It is US data; the shape of the work travels.

Sources: Microsoft Research, Working with AI (2025) · O*NET OnLine, 33-1021 · BLS Employment Projections 2025 to 2035

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