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Crossing Guards and Flaggers

Lightly edited

AI performs some of this work. Most of it still needs a person. The BLS expects 3.5% more of these jobs by 2035, faster than the 3.5% average.

26%AI does12%AI helps62%Still yours
Rank
Joint #272 of 785 jobs, by how much of the work AI does
US jobs, 2025 to 2035
+3.5% All jobs: +3.5%
Median US pay
$38,100 a year, 2025
People doing it
94,800 in the US, with about 17,300 openings a year

The work, 10 activities

The job description, marked up.

Every activity in this job, the biggest first. Tap a line for the evidence.

  • deleAI does this
  • +AIAI helps
  • stetStill yours
  1. Still yours: Direct vehicle traffic29%

    Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.

  2. Still yours: Notify others of emergencies or problems16%

    Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.

  3. AI helps with this: Provide general assistance to others, such as customers, patrons, or motorists12%

    People asked AI for help with this in about 1 in 98 conversations, and it got them there 84% of the time. In this job the work is hands-on, so AI can only assist.

  4. AI does this: Explain regulations, policies, or procedures10%

    AI performed this in about 1 in 84 Copilot conversations and completed it 93% of the time.

  5. AI does this: Communicate with others about operational plans or activities10%

    AI performed this in about 1 in 354 Copilot conversations and completed it 90% of the time.

  6. Still yours: Monitor safety or security of work areas, facilities, or properties10%

    Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.

  7. Still yours: Record information about legal matters5%

    Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.

  8. AI does this: Maintain current knowledge in area of expertise5%

    AI performed this in about 1 in 40 Copilot conversations and completed it 91% of the time.

  9. Still yours: Position tools or equipment2%

    Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.

  10. AI does this: Provide information or assistance to the public2%

    AI performed this in about 1 in 7 Copilot conversations and completed it 86% of the time.

2025 to 2035

Ten years from now.

For every 100 of these jobs in 2025, the BLS projects 103 in 2035. Across all US jobs, about 104.

US jobs by 2035+3.5%
shrinkingyellow tick: all jobs +3.5%growing

About 17,300 openings a year, from growth and from people who retire or move on.

The wire

On the wire.

Nothing filed about this job yet. The latest from the War front:

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How to read this file.

deleAI does this. In US Bing Copilot conversations from January to September 2024, AI itself performed the activity, completed it and made a real difference often enough to count.

+AIAI helps. People brought the activity to AI as their own goal, and it usually got them there.

stetStill yours. It barely shows up in AI use, AI rarely finishes it, or in this job it needs hands.

Shares are weighted by how much each activity matters in the job, using O*NET. Microsoft’s own AI applicability score for this job is 0.19, higher than 66% of jobs.

Doing an activity is not doing a job. The researchers behind this data warn against reading it as job loss, and so do we. It is US data; the shape of the work travels.

Sources: Microsoft Research, Working with AI (2025) · O*NET OnLine, 33-9091 · BLS Employment Projections 2025 to 2035

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