← All 785 jobsFile 23-1022
Arbitrators, Mediators, and Conciliators
Mostly untouched
AI barely touches this work so far. The BLS expects 4.7% more of these jobs by 2035, faster than the 3.5% average.
Legal work often runs on specialised, compliant AI tools that consumer Copilot data does not see, so this file probably understates how much AI touches it.
- Rank
- #407 of 785 jobs, by how much of the work AI does
- US jobs, 2025 to 2035
- +4.7% All jobs: +3.5%
- Median US pay
- $75,530 a year, 2025
- People doing it
- 10,500 in the US, with about 300 openings a year
The work, 15 activities
The job description, marked up.
Every activity in this job, the biggest first. Tap a line for the evidence.
- deleAI does this
- +AIAI helps
- stetStill yours
Still yours: Make legal decisions21%
Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.
AI does this: Research laws, precedents, or other legal data11%
AI performed this in about 1 in 1,733 Copilot conversations and completed it 92% of the time.
Still yours: Discuss legal matters with clients, disputants, or legal professionals or staff11%
Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.
AI helps with this: Consult legal materials or public records9%
People asked AI for help with this in about 1 in 748 conversations, and it got them there 81% of the time.
Still yours: Record information about legal matters9%
Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.
AI helps with this: Investigate criminal or legal matters8%
People asked AI for help with this in about 1 in 1,075 conversations, and it got them there 83% of the time.
Still yours: Prepare legal or regulatory documents6%
Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.
Still yours: Mediate disputes6%
Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.
Still yours: Perform court-related or other legal administrative activities4%
Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.
Still yours: Direct legal activities4%
Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.
AI does this: Advise others on legal or regulatory matters3%
AI performed this in about 1 in 456 Copilot conversations and completed it 93% of the time.
Still yours: Interview people to obtain information2%
People try AI for this, but it seldom finishes the work in full.
Still yours: Authorize business activities or transactions2%
Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.
AI does this: Provide information or assistance to the public2%
AI performed this in about 1 in 7 Copilot conversations and completed it 86% of the time.
Still yours: Present information in legal proceedings1%
Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.
2025 to 2035
Ten years from now.
For every 100 of these jobs in 2025, the BLS projects 105 in 2035. Across all US jobs, about 104.
About 300 openings a year, from growth and from people who retire or move on.
Nearby
Where your skills travel.
Jobs that share the most work with this one, where AI does less of it.
- Shares 22% of the workTransit and Railroad Police5% AI does, against 16% here+3.2% by 2035 · $90,230 · High school diploma
- Shares 28% of the workTitle Examiners, Abstractors, and Searchers0% AI does, against 16% here+2.1% by 2035 · $58,650 · High school diploma
- Shares 68% of the workJudges, Magistrate Judges, and Magistrates7% AI does, against 16% here+2.8% by 2035 · $153,990 · Doctoral or professional degree
The wire
On the wire.
Nothing filed about this job yet. The latest from the Politics front:
How to read this file.
deleAI does this. In US Bing Copilot conversations from January to September 2024, AI itself performed the activity, completed it and made a real difference often enough to count.
+AIAI helps. People brought the activity to AI as their own goal, and it usually got them there.
stetStill yours. It barely shows up in AI use, AI rarely finishes it, or in this job it needs hands.
Shares are weighted by how much each activity matters in the job, using O*NET. Microsoft’s own AI applicability score for this job is 0.11, higher than 37% of jobs.
Doing an activity is not doing a job. The researchers behind this data warn against reading it as job loss, and so do we. It is US data; the shape of the work travels.
Legal work often runs on specialised, compliant AI tools that consumer Copilot data does not see, so this file probably understates how much AI touches it.
Sources: Microsoft Research, Working with AI (2025) · O*NET OnLine, 23-1022 · BLS Employment Projections 2025 to 2035
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